Ward by Ward Analysis from Nemom – Rajettan to win by Narrow Margin

via Courtesy: Gokul published on April 29, 2011

Following recently concluded  election – All Nationalists are eagerly waiting to see whether Lotus will bloom in Kerala.

Detailed analysis from the ground suggest that in Nemom O.Rajagopal will flutter saffron wave in the land of Parashurama and Adi Sankara.

Ward by ward analysis for Nemom.All numbers mentioned within the brackets are leads for the candidate in that ward.

The wards in which Rajettan will outpower opposite candidate – LDF’s Sivankutty .

Poojappura(1500)
Vellaar(1500)
Melaankodu(750)
Kalady(1500)
Pappanamcode(500)
Ponnumangalam(900)
Thirumala(250)
Chenkalloor(500)

A  part of Kuriathy and Jagathy is also in Nemom ward.Both these wards have BJP councillors. But these wards were split due to political interference else it would have been a cake walk for BJP. It is not clearl yet how much votes will Rajettan gain here . Even in worst case scenario these two half wards will give him a minimum advantage of 500 votes in total. If things go better BJP can even get a lead close to 1000+ in these two wards.

The wards in which Sivankutty will get heavy leads. These are strong Muslim pockets. Ambalathara ward is the old PDP bastion and Poonthura Siraj has once won from there in the corporation election. SDPI – Political arm of Popular Front terrorists haven’t fielded their candidates here and have openly canvassed for LDF Candidate.

Ambalathara(1500)
Kalipaankulam(1500)
Kamaleswaram(800)

The wards where Sivankutty will get moderate leads .

Nedunkadu(200)
Mudavanmukal(200)
Attukal(200)
Pangode(200)
Thiruvallom(200)
Punchakkari(500)
Estateward(500)

In Karamana, both Hindus who support BJP and name sake Hindus and Muslims are equal in population. Anyways nobody wont take a lead of more than 200 from here.

May 13th will be a golden day in the History of Kerala – If above analysis have proven True – O Rajagopal- People’s Rajettan will win by a narrow margin of 2100 votes

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